Earnings Estimate Revisions is something you need to be aware of. Earnings
estimate revisions are the most powerful force impacting stocks and
can change the trend of a stock's price. This is the basis of any
trading plan or stock picking system and can effect your rate of
return.
When estimates of your stocks are going up, they will most likely beat the
market and you can consider placing a trailing stop. However, falling
estimates are a significant warning to consider selling shares
immediately. Which might be the case for your stocks now so you should
consider taking your profits and sell the security.
Broker Recommendation changes definitely will change the price of a stock.
Let's set the record straight about the value of brokerage firm
recommendations. Stocks that receive brokerage firm upgrades will
generally outperform the market in the next month.
Many times stocks that receive downgrades will under perform the market.
You will find these timely recommendation changes for your stocks in
the emails from your broker if you own the stock.
Earnings Surprises are great if they go up. Few events can
move a stock faster than an earnings surprise. Traders have realized
that these surprises create lasting effects. A company that reports a
big positive surprise will not just spike the day of the news but will
generally continue to outperform the market over the next few months.
The opposite is true also stocks that have a negative earnings surprise
tend to falter in subsequent quarters. Traders will short the stocks
with bad earnings.
You will know right away when to take action on any and all stocks
in your portfolio. That is why you need to stay aware or your stock
market indicators when you own stocks. If you are a long term investor
then these indicators will have a smaller effect on your portfolio.
If the stock you own is under performing you might want to consider
selling and moving on to a new stock that has good earnings and
reports. Not every trade will be a winner, not every day will be a
winner.
But the LESS you attempt new trades the less risk you expose yourself to.
Negative personal evaluation leads to your being emotionally out of
control, which leads to straying from your tested trading system. |