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Stock picking is a very
complicated process and investors have different approaches. However,
it is wise to follow general steps to minimize the risk of the
investments. This article will outline these basic steps for picking
high performance stocks.
Step 1. Decide on the time frame and the general strategy of the
investment. This step is very important because it will dictate the
type of stocks you buy.
Suppose you decide to be a long term investor, you would want to
find stocks that have sustainable competitive advantages along with
stable growth. The key for finding these stocks is by looking at the
historical performance of each stock over the past decades and do a
simple business S.W.O.T. (Strength-weakness-opportunity-threat)
analysis on the company.
If you decide to be a short term investor, you would like to adhere to
one of the following strategies:
a. Momentum Trading. This strategy is to look for stocks that increase
in both price and volume over the recent past. Most technical analyses
support this trading strategy. My advice on this strategy is to look
for stocks that have demonstrated stable and smooth rises in their
prices. The idea is that when the stocks are not volatile, you can
simply ride the up-trend until the trend breaks.
b. Contrarian Strategy. This strategy is to look for over-reactions in
the stock market. Researches show that stock market is not always
efficient, which means prices do not always accurately represent the
values of the stocks. When a company announces a bad news, people
panic and price often drops below the stock's fair value. To decide
whether a stock over-reacted to a news, you should look at the
possibility of recovery from the impact of the bad news. For example,
if the stock drops 20% after the company loses a legal case that has
no permanent damage to the business's brand and product, you can be
confident that the market over-reacted. My advice on this strategy is
to find a list of stocks that have recent drops in prices, analyze the
potential for a reversal (through candlestick analysis). If the stocks
demonstrate candlestick reversal patterns, I will go through the
recent news to analyze the causes of the recent price drops to
determine the existence of over-sold opportunities.
Step 2. Conduct researches that give you a selection of stocks that is
consistent to your investment time frame and strategy. There are
numerous stock screeners on the web that can help you find stocks
according to your needs.
Step 3. Once you have a list of stocks to buy, you would need to
diversify them in a way that gives the greatest reward/risk ratio. One
way to do this is conduct a Markowitz analysis for your portfolio. The
analysis will give you the proportions of money you should allocate to
each stock. This step is crucial because diversification is one of the
free-lunches in the investment world.
These three steps should get you started in your quest to
consistently make money in the stock market. They will deepen your
knowledge about the financial markets, and would provide a sense of
confidence that helps you to make better trading decisions.
The money market is one of the safest financial markets available. It
is commonly used by large corporations, financial institutions and
governments to secure their money resources for a short period of
time. They are often compared to the bond. They are secure investments
that are specialized. The main difference, though, in a bond and a
money market is that the money market is usually for a very short
period of time, usually under a year. You may hear them referred to as
cash investments because of this short turn around.
In the most basic of form, the money market is a borrowing of money
by a government institution or other large corporations.
Using stop losses is also very important in stock trading. Always use
them and try to stay with the trend. |