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Stochastic refresher
The stochastic oscillator consists of two lines: %K and a moving
average of % K called %D.
The basic stochastic calculation compares the most recent close to the
price
range (high of the range - low of the range) over a particular period.
A basic
five-bar stochastic calculation is the difference between the most
recent bar’s
close and the lowest low of the last five days divided by the
difference
between the highest high and the lowest low of the last five days. The
result
is multiplied by 100. The formula for this calculation, which is %K,
is: where
%K = 100*{(Ct-Ln)/(Hn-Ln)}
Ct = the most recent bar’s closing price
Ln = the lowest price of the most recent n bars
Hn = the highest price of the most recent n bars
(for a stochastic calculated on daily bars, the default is five days)
The second line, %D, is simply a three-period moving average of %K: average (%K,3)
Because this basic “fast” stochastic calculation is very volatile, an
additionally
smoothed version of the indicator, where the original %D line becomes
a
new “slow” %K line and a three-period average of this line becomes the
“slow”
%D line, is more commonly used.
The stochastic can be made to reflect longer- or shorter-term price
movement
and to be less or more sensitive to small price fluctuations by
increasing
or decreasing the number of bars used to calculate %K and/or
increasing or
decreasing the length of the moving average used to calculate %D. For
example,
a stochastic using a 10-bar %K and a three-bar moving average for %D
[stochastic(
10,3)] would be shorter-term and more sensitive than a stochastic
using a 20-bar %K and a five-bar moving average for %D
[stochastic(20,5)]. |
This short-term trading method works
well in the Forex market, but it is also applicable to others. Each step of the
system helps identify areas where effective trades can be made. If at any point
one of the criteria is not met, you’ll instantly know not to make a trade. This
model the freedom to experiment with also gives you different chart intervals.
When your equipped with a system that can help you catch the trend early, you
can wait for the rest of the market to follow.

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